The global pharmaceutical market in 2007 will fall slightly
from this year's level of growth. IMS Health predicts a
worldwide market growth of 5% to 6% in the coming year,
marginally lower than the 6% to 7% growth in 2006.
IMS Health reported that the US market will grow by
only 4% to 5% in 2007, a decrease from the 6% to 7%
rise this year. A major factor contributing to the decline
is that several brand name drugs will lose patent in
2007, opening the door for generics. Market growth is
moving from traditional markets to emerging ones, and
new products are typically more specialized and have
smaller consumer bases, giving them a smaller impact
on the overall market. IMS forecasts between 25 and 35
new products in 2007, compared with the anticipated
30 product launches in 2006.
In 2002, the United States made up 54% of the total market
growth worldwide. In the coming year, however, the
United States is expected to contribute only 36%. IMS predicts
that China, India, Brazil, and Turkey will expand their
pharmaceutical business by >10%.